Ceasefire will be indefinite, Trump says, as top economist puts risk of recession at 40% if Hormuz stays closed Everything you need to know before you reach the office this morning. #Ceasefire #will #indefinite #Trump #says

UK to 'flirt' with recession as Iran war oil shock bites, report warns The UK economy will "flirt" with recession this year and almost 250,000 people could lose their jobs due to the effects of the Iran war oil price shock, according to a respected independent forecaster. #flirt #with #recession #Iran #war

World financial leaders gather to discuss the extent of the shock that the war could cause | DW News The International Monetary Fund (IMF) warns global growth could plunge to near-recession levels as war disrupts energy and trade. How bad could this get? #World #financial #leaders #gather #discuss

Xi Jinping says the world order is ‘crumbling into disarray.’ Larry Fink and the IMF are worried about a global recession The Iran war, trade chaos, and a shifting geopolitical landscape are converging into what could be the defining economic moment of the decade. #Jinping #says #the #world #order

‘Good for Russia, good for China, bad for America’: How the Iran war is reshaping global economies and power Stagflation, unemployment, recession: The Iran war is rewriting the global economy, and the damage may be permanent. #Good #for #Russia #good #for

Rising oil prices: Are we heading for a recession? Crude oil prices rose again on Thursday as the ceasefire announced by US President Donald Trump and Iran shows signs of fragility. In this edition, we speak with Ilian Mihov, Professor of Economics at INSEAD, about whether the war and the resulting oil shock could trigger a global recession. #Rising #oil #prices #Are #heading

L’ombra del Golfo gela l’Italia: crescita al palo e spettro recessione nelle stime di Bankitalia La guerra in Medio Oriente affossa la ripresa. Palazzo Koch certifica la frenata con un Pil fermo allo 0,5% fino al 2027. #Lombra #del #Golfo #gela #lItalia

BlackRock CEO Larry Fink warns AI is creating a ‘crisis’ for Gen Z workers: the class of 2026 could face the highest unemployment in years—even without a recession New college graduates hoping for a white-collar career shouldn’t hold their breath, BlackRock boss Larry Fink warns: “AI is going to disrupt many of those types of jobs.” #BlackRock #CEO #Larry #Fink #warns

La situazione politica in Italia si fa sempre più complessa, soprattutto con l'avvicinarsi delle elezioni. La crescente preoccupazione per il legame tra l'ex presidente Trump e il governo attuale potrebbe avere ripercussioni significative. Questa "doppia tenaglia" che spaventa i partiti come il Pd, il M5s e l'Avs potrebbe trasformarsi in un tema cruciale in Parlamento. Le tensioni economiche e le incertezze legate alla recessione sono già di per sé fonte di ansia, ma il fatto che i partiti di opposizione stiano lavorando a una risoluzione congiunta mostra che la strategia politica sta diventando sempre più agguerrita. Non possiamo sottovalutare come queste dinamiche influenzeranno il voto e quali ripercussioni avrà sul futuro del paese. Chi ha seguito la politica italiana negli ultimi anni sa che le alleanze e le rivalità possono cambiare rapidamente. E voi, come vedete questo legame tra Trump e il governo attuale? Pensi che abbia un impatto diretto sulle elezioni? https://www.lastampa.it/politica/2026/03/10/news/trump_e_la_recessione_la_doppia_tenaglia_che_spaventa_il_governo-15538284/ #politica #elezioni2024 #Trump #recessione

Nearly half of companies are turning to poor ‘peanut butter’ raises—following the same pattern of the 2008 recession, an expert says. And it could take years to recover Even if you land a job in the current market, peanut butter raises mean you probably won’t get a sizable raise. One expert warns that pay budget increases were stuck at about 3% for a long time after the Great Recession. #Nearly #half #companies #are #turning

‘Ghost GDP,’ a white-collar recession, and the death of friction: Substack’s top finance writer warns of the 2028 AI crisis nobody sees coming The S&P 500 will also plunge 38%, and unemployment will exceed 10%, James Van Geelen’s Citrini Research predicts. #Ghost #GDP #white #collar #recession

Obama Took On Recession, Health Care and Iraq. What He Didn’t See Coming Was Trump. A new set of oral history interviews documents how Barack Obama and his advisers missed the shifting mood of the country that would ultimately replace him with a successor they considered a “con man,” “clown” and “laughingstock.” #Obama #Took #Recession #Health #Care

The downside of staving off recessions Long periods of expansion create fiscal, financial and productivity risks #The #downside #staving #off #recessions

The rise in job cuts to the highest January total since 2009 signals a concerning shift in the U.S. labor market. Employers slashing 108,000 positions is more than just a statistic; it’s a wake-up call about the economic landscape we’re navigating. As companies tighten their belts, it raises questions about job security and consumer confidence. Are we witnessing just a seasonal adjustment, or is this the beginning of a more profound economic downturn? It’s crucial to keep an eye on how this trend develops. Are businesses preparing for a recession, or are they simply making cautious moves in response to shifting market demands? The implications for workers and the economy could be significant, and it’s important to stay informed and prepared. What do you think? Is this a sign of tougher times ahead, or can we expect a turnaround soon? https://www.ft.com/content/378fb2e9-6575-4da2-9769-13cf6bc499ad #JobCuts #LaborMarket #Economy #USJobs

German economy grew 0.2% in 2025 Bundesbank expects country to recover slowly from its multi-year recession #German #economy #grew #2025

Forget the K-Shape: We have a barbell economy—and the middle class is buckling under the weight The next recession won’t be caused by a labor collapse, but by a demographic margin call. #Forget #the #Shape #have #barbell

È allarmante sapere che il 40% degli italiani teme una recessione nel 2026. La maggior parte di noi sente già il peso dell'inflazione, con il costo della vita che continua a salire. Come pensate che questo influenzerà le vostre finanze nel prossimo futuro? https://www.ilsole24ore.com/art/italiani-pessimisti-sull-economia-quattro-10-intravedono-spettro-recessione-2026-AIcA7Sp #Economia #Recessione #Crescita #Inflazione

Just like during Great Recession-era job struggle, Gen Z graduates are pouring into education as Teach For America reports a 43% surge in new teachers Teach for America’s recent hiring surge reflects Gen Zers wanting an “opportunity for purpose and responsibility at a time where many entry jobs feel uncertain or disconnected from impact.” #Just #like #during #Great #Recession

Privatizing Fannie Mae and Freddie Mac the wrong way risks a second Great Recession I served in the Obama and Biden administrations and saw excessive risk-taking by these enterprises help bring about the 2008 crash and Great Recession. #Privatizing #Fannie #Mae #and #Freddie

‘Precarious’ is Wall Street’s defining word for 2026 Labor market softness, recession fears, AI bubbles and Fed questions are all top of mind as Wall Street heads into 2026. #Precarious #Wall #Streets #defining #word

A huge chunk of U.S. GDP growth is being kept alive by AI spending ‘with no guaranteed return,’ Deutsche Bank says “Investment in AI-related sectors is critical to GDP growth [and the] US would be close to recession this year if it weren’t for tech-related spending, #huge #chunk #GDP #growth #being

The Economy Survived 2025, But Many Americans Are Reeling A feared recession didn’t materialize, but unemployment rose, wage growth slowed and affordability challenges are mounting. #The #Economy #Survived #2025 #But

Is anyone else starting to think that gold and silver are just trying to outshine each other? With prices skyrocketing due to geopolitical tensions, it's like they're in a race to see who can become the fanciest investment of the year! Who knew that a little US blockade on Venezuelan oil and some Federal Reserve whispers could turn shiny metals into the hottest ticket in town? I guess while we're dodging inflation and a potential recession, it’s nice to know there are some flashy options out there. Time to dig out those old jewelry boxes and see if I can cash in my grandma's bling for a vacation! What do you think—are you investing in precious metals or just buying more ice cream to cope? https://www.ft.com/content/99899de1-bb19-4a5b-8432-cbd8009c55e3 #InvestmentHumor #PreciousMetals #EconomyLaughs

Germany’s multiyear recession will only fade slowly in 2026, Bundesbank warns Central bank dashes hopes of strong recovery from debt-funded spending spree #Germanys #multiyear #recession #will #only